# Will the ATA Truck Tonnage Index exceed 117.0 in any month of 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/ata-truck-tonnage-index-exceed-1170-month-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** resolved  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-02  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 100%  
**Forecasts:** 5

## Description

The tonnage index peaked at 117.4 in March 2022 and has trended down as excess capacity absorbed freight growth. Breaking 117 would signal genuine demand recovery beyond just seasonal patterns. October 2025 was 111.9.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any monthly seasonally adjusted ATA reading in 2026 shows tonnage index ≥117.0 (2015=100 baseline). Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.trucking.org/

## Resolution note

In April 2026, the seasonally adjusted For-Hire Truck Tonnage Index equaled 117.8.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/ata-truck-tonnage-index-exceed-1170-month-2026_