# Will the Cass Freight Index shipments component for Q1 2026 average lower than Q1 2025?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/cass-intermodal-index-q1-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** resolved  
**Deadline:** 2026-04-30  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 27%  
**Forecasts:** 11

## Description

The Cass Freight Index shipments component tracks North American freight volume across truckload, LTL, rail and parcel each month. A lower Q1 2026 average would extend the for-hire freight recession that ran through 2024 and 2025, even as truckload rates began to recover.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if the arithmetic average of the Cass Freight Index shipments component for January, February and March 2026 is lower than the Q1 2025 average. Otherwise NO. Source: Cass Transportation Index monthly reports at https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/cass-intermodal-index-q1-2026_