# Will Class 8 truck retail sales (ACT Research) exceed 25,000 units in any month in 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/class-8-truck-sales-25000-units-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-01  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 89%  
**Forecasts:** 9

## Description

Retail sales below 25k indicate fleets are not even keeping pace with replacement demand as older trucks age out. Sales have run below this threshold for most of 2025. Breaking above 25k would require either freight recovery or regulatory pre-buy.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any single month's ACT Research retail sales total reaches ≥25,000 units. Otherwise NO.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/class-8-truck-sales-25000-units-2026_