# Will FMCSA issue an autonomous vehicle rulemaking in 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/fmcsa-av-rulemaking-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-31  
**Category:** events  
**Current consensus:** 83%  
**Forecasts:** 6

## Description

Autonomous trucking activity is advancing faster than the federal rulebook. This market asks whether FMCSA takes a formal regulatory step toward a framework for automated commercial motor vehicles during calendar year 2026.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if FMCSA publishes in the Federal Register an NPRM or ANPRM specifically addressing autonomous, automated, or driverless commercial motor vehicles by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Federal Register and FMCSA official docket.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/fmcsa-av-rulemaking-2026_