# Will the ILA conduct a 24+ hour work stoppage in 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/ila-strike-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-01  
**Category:** events  
**Current consensus:** 10%  
**Forecasts:** 10

## Description

Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) conduct a work stoppage lasting 24+ hours at East or Gulf Coast ports in 2026? The ILA and USMX reached a tentative 6-year contract in January 2025, ratified in February with 99% approval. However, automation language remains contentious—the agreement only prohibits "fully automated" terminals, leaving room for disputes over "semi-automated" equipment.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any ILA work stoppage of 24+ hours occurs at East or Gulf Coast ports. Resolves NO if no strikes occur. Source: Major media reports (Transport Topics, JOC, WSJ) or ILA/USMX official statements.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/ila-strike-2026_