# Will ISM Manufacturing PMI exceed 52.0 in any month of 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-manufacturing-pmi-exceed-520-month-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** resolved  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-01  
**Category:** indices  
**Forecasts:** 0

## Description

Manufacturing PMI has been below 50 (contraction) for 9 consecutive months as of November 2025 at 48.2. Breaking above 52 would signal not just expansion but robust growth in freight-generating industrial activity.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any monthly Manufacturing PMI reading in 2026 is ≥52.0. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.ismworld.org/

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-manufacturing-pmi-exceed-520-month-2026_