# Will the ISM Manufacturing PMI New Orders subindex exceed 52.0 in June 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-new-orders-june-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** resolved  
**Deadline:** 2026-07-02  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 80%  
**Forecasts:** 10

## Description

New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in June, it signals strong manufacturing demand is building for July-September freight movement.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if June 2026 ISM New Orders subindex >52.0. Otherwise NO. Source: [Institute for Supply Management](https://www.ismworld.org/)

## Source links

- [Institute for Supply Management](https://www.ismworld.org/)

## Resolution note

The New Orders subindex read 56.0% (down 0.8 pt from May's 56.8), a sixth consecutive month above 50 and well past the 52.0 bar — forward demand still firm. https://www.advisorperspectives.com/dshort/updates/2026/07/01/ism-manufacturing-pmi-june-2026

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-new-orders-june-2026_