# Will any major carrier (>$1B annual revenue) announce permanent closure in 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/major-trucking-carrier-closure-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-01  
**Category:** events  
**Current consensus:** 25%  
**Forecasts:** 8

## Description

Yellow's 2023 collapse with $5B in revenue was the largest trucking failure in US history. A similar event in 2026 would reshape competitive dynamics, create temporary capacity crunches, and trigger rate volatility.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if any North American trucking company with >$1 billion in trailing 12-month revenue as of Jan 1, 2026 announces permanent cessation of operations (not just bankruptcy/restructuring) during 2026. Otherwise NO.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/major-trucking-carrier-closure-2026_