# Will the national spot truckload rate (SONAR NTI.USA) exceed $3.10/mile by the end of May 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/nti-spot-rate-may-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** resolved  
**Deadline:** 2026-06-03  
**Category:** rates  
**Current consensus:** 89%  
**Forecasts:** 9

## Description

The Sonar NTI.USA is the national truckload index tracking all-in spot rates per mile including fuel surcharge. It broke above $3.00 in late March, lifted in part by the diesel spike from the Iran-Hormuz conflict. May typically sees seasonal produce and retail freight push spot truckload volumes higher. This market asks whether spot rates can close the month above $3.10 on the last business day. ACT Research reported a driver shortage re-emerging in March 2026, and diesel remains above $4.50 per gallon. The question is whether the rate strength persists if fuel prices pull back.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA reads above $3.10/mile on the last business day of May 2026. Resolves NO if NTI.USA reads at or below $3.10/mile. If data is unavailable on the final business day, the most recent prior reading is used. NTI.USA is the all-in rate including fuel surcharge. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/nti-spot-rate-may-2026_