# Will SONAR's OTRI.USA (tender rejections) exceed 15% in Q3 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/otri-tender-rejections-q3-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2026-10-08  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 90%  
**Forecasts:** 10

## Description

OTRI.USA measures the share of contracted truckload loads that carriers reject. It sat below 5% for much of 2023, but has moved materially higher as capacity tightened. At 15%, shippers start losing loads to the spot market more consistently and contract compliance begins to deteriorate in a more visible way.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if OTRI.USA reads above 15.00% on any single day between July 1 and September 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/otri-tender-rejections-q3-2026_