# What will the SONAR Outbound Tender Reject Index (OTRI) read in the final week of 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/otri-yearend-2026  
**Type:** Numeric forecast  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2027-01-15  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 17.2%  
**Forecasts:** 6

## Description

OTRI.USA is FreightWaves SONAR's national Outbound Tender Reject Index, the percentage of contracted loads that carriers refuse. In mid-May 2026 it read 15.41%, above the 13% to 14% range that held through Q1 2026. This market resolves to the final reported weekly OTRI.USA print of calendar 2026. Year-end OTRI tends to run seasonally elevated by peak-season capacity dynamics. For historical context, OTRI ran in the low single digits during the 2023 freight recession and reached the mid-20s in 2021.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves to the final reported weekly OTRI.USA print of calendar 2026, as reported by FreightWaves SONAR. OTRI.USA is the national Outbound Tender Reject Index, expressed as a percentage. If SONAR has not reported a weekly print covering the final week of 2026 by the resolution deadline, the most recent prior weekly print is used. In the event FreightWaves discontinues or renames the index, resolution uses the closest available successor metric for national tender rejection.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/otri-yearend-2026_