# Will SONAR OTVI.USA exceed 12,500 in any week of Q2 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/otvi-volume-recovery-q2-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2026-07-07  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 67%  
**Forecasts:** 9

## Description

The Outbound Tender Volume Index is at 11,582 and inclining after months of decline. The bull case for the trucking market — the one Craig Fuller rated "11 out of 10" — depends in part on volumes recovering, not just rates being inflated by diesel. Crossing 12,500 would represent roughly 8% growth from current levels and would signal that the rate increase has a demand foundation underneath it, not just a fuel surcharge and capacity squeeze. Produce season, tariff-driven front-loading and the spring freight build all push in that direction. The question is whether it's enough.

## Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if SONAR OTVI.USA reads above 12,500.00 on any single day between April 1 and June 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.

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_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/otvi-volume-recovery-q2-2026_