# Will DAT dry van tender rejection rates average above 12% across all of Q2 2026?

**URL:** https://www.rigload.com/markets/tender-rejection-rates-q2-2026  
**Type:** Binary (Yes/No)  
**Status:** active  
**Deadline:** 2026-07-15  
**Category:** indices  
**Current consensus:** 70%  
**Forecasts:** 10

## Description

Rejection rates >12% indicate shippers are seeing capacity constraints and having difficulty securing loads. If Q2 averages above 12%, it confirms that capacity exits have created structural tightness.

## Resolution criteria

Calculate average weekly rejection rate for April 1 - June 30, 2026. Resolves YES if 3-month average >12%. Otherwise NO. Source: [DAT Trendlines](https://www.dat.com/trendlines)

## Source links

- [DAT Trendlines](https://www.dat.com/trendlines)

## Similar markets

- [Will the ISM Manufacturing PMI for June 2026 exceed 50.5?](https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-manufacturing-pmi-june-2026-exceed-505.md)
- [Will the ISM Manufacturing PMI New Orders subindex exceed 52.0 in June 2026?](https://www.rigload.com/markets/ism-new-orders-june-2026.md)
- [Will the DAT national flatbed load-to-truck ratio exceed 100:1 in Q2 2026?](https://www.rigload.com/markets/flatbed-load-to-truck-q2-2026.md)

---

_Rig Load — freight market forecasting. Crowd consensus is public; sign in to submit a forecast. Source: https://www.rigload.com/markets/tender-rejection-rates-q2-2026_