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January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if DOL publishes a final rule tightening independent contractor standards beyond the 2024 rule. Resolves NO if no new rule is published or if the 2024 rule is rescinded/weakened. Source: Federal Register final rule publication.
Will the Department of Labor issue a final rule making it harder to classify truck drivers as independent contractors before year-end? The Trump DOL announced in May 2025 it is reviewing the Biden-era 2024 independent contractor rule and will not enforce it while reviewing. If DOL instead strengthens the rule, thousands of owner-operators would be reclassified as employees, fundamentally restructuring carrier cost models.