Will the ISM Manufacturing PMI for June 2026 exceed 50.5?

Binary (Yes/No)·0 forecasters

Consensus

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ClosesJul 1, 2026

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Resolution Details

Resolution Date

July 1, 2026

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if June 2026 Manufacturing PMI >50.5. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.ismworld.org/

Additional Context

Manufacturing PMI has been in contraction (<50) for most of 2025. Breaking above 50.5 signals not just expansion but solid growth in manufacturing activity. Freight demand is heavily weighted to manufacturing output.