Will LTL freight tonnage in Q1 2026 be lower than Q1 2025?

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Consensus

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ClosesMay 15, 2026

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Resolution Details

Resolution Date

May 15, 2026

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if Q1 2026 total LTL tonnage <Q1 2025 tonnage (seasonally adjusted). Otherwise NO. Source: ATA or third-party LTL volume tracking from carrier press releases or industry analysts.

Additional Context

LTL has been in structural decline due to shipper consolidation and private fleet growth. Q1 is seasonally weak after peak season, but continued YoY decline would signal accelerating shipper flight from for-hire LTL.