Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 363 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
March 31, 2027
Resolves YES if PACCAR reports truck segment revenue divided by truck deliveries exceeding $200,000 per unit in any quarterly 10-Q or annual 10-K filing for fiscal year 2026. Use North American truck segment revenue and North American truck deliveries. Resolves NO if no quarter exceeds $200,000 per unit. Source: PACCAR SEC filings (10-Q and 10-K), available at sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000075362.
Tariffs on truck components, including the 25% Section 232 duties on imports from Canada and Mexico, are pushing new Class 8 truck prices sharply higher. ACT Research projects a $10,000 tariff-driven increase per unit, while ATA estimates the total impact at $35,000 per truck, potentially pushing costs to $238,000 including the 12% federal excise tax. PACCAR, the parent of Kenworth and Peterbilt, reports truck revenue and deliveries quarterly in SEC filings — making average revenue per truck a clean, auditable proxy for where new truck prices are heading.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 363 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
March 31, 2027
Resolves YES if PACCAR reports truck segment revenue divided by truck deliveries exceeding $200,000 per unit in any quarterly 10-Q or annual 10-K filing for fiscal year 2026. Use North American truck segment revenue and North American truck deliveries. Resolves NO if no quarter exceeds $200,000 per unit. Source: PACCAR SEC filings (10-Q and 10-K), available at sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000075362.
Tariffs on truck components, including the 25% Section 232 duties on imports from Canada and Mexico, are pushing new Class 8 truck prices sharply higher. ACT Research projects a $10,000 tariff-driven increase per unit, while ATA estimates the total impact at $35,000 per truck, potentially pushing costs to $238,000 including the 12% federal excise tax. PACCAR, the parent of Kenworth and Peterbilt, reports truck revenue and deliveries quarterly in SEC filings — making average revenue per truck a clean, auditable proxy for where new truck prices are heading.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.