Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 362 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if BNSF, UP, CSX, NS, CP, or CN experience a strike of 48+ hours. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Major media (WSJ, AAR, Progressive Railroading) or union press releases.
Will any major U.S. Class I freight railroad experience a labor strike lasting 48+ hours in 2026? Congress blocked a rail strike in December 2022 by forcing workers to accept contracts. Labor tensions remain high over scheduling, sick leave, and precision scheduled railroading. A rail strike would immediately collapse intermodal capacity and force freight to trucks, spiking spot rates 40-60% within days.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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