March 14, 2026
The Dalilah Law and the capacity crunch not yet priced in
The proposed CDL restrictions could pull hundreds of thousands of drivers off the road, but the recertification bottleneck may be the bigger stor...
Read articleEarly forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 294 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if the Dalilah Law (H.R. 7758 or its Senate companion), or substantially similar federal legislation restricting CDL eligibility based on immigration status, is signed into law by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no such legislation is enacted by that date. Executive actions and FMCSA rulemaking alone do not count. Source: Congress.gov, White House statements, Federal Register.
The Dalilah Law would restrict CDL eligibility to U.S. citizens, lawful permanent residents, and select visa holders, while requiring English-only testing and full recertification of all CDL holders within six months. With a State of the Union endorsement from President Trump and companion bills in both chambers, this market asks whether the political momentum translates into enacted federal law before year-end.
Rig Load Report posts linked directly to this market.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 294 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if the Dalilah Law (H.R. 7758 or its Senate companion), or substantially similar federal legislation restricting CDL eligibility based on immigration status, is signed into law by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no such legislation is enacted by that date. Executive actions and FMCSA rulemaking alone do not count. Source: Congress.gov, White House statements, Federal Register.
The Dalilah Law would restrict CDL eligibility to U.S. citizens, lawful permanent residents, and select visa holders, while requiring English-only testing and full recertification of all CDL holders within six months. With a State of the Union endorsement from President Trump and companion bills in both chambers, this market asks whether the political momentum translates into enacted federal law before year-end.
Rig Load Report posts linked directly to this market.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.