Resolves YES if the Dalilah Law (H.R. 7758 or its Senate companion), or substantially similar federal legislation restricting CDL eligibility based on immigration status, is signed into law by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO if no such legislation is enacted by that date. Executive actions and FMCSA rulemaking alone do not count. Source: Congress.gov, White House statements, Federal Register.

The Dalilah Law would restrict CDL eligibility to U.S. citizens, lawful permanent residents, and select visa holders, while requiring English-only testing and full recertification of all CDL holders within six months. With a State of the Union endorsement from President Trump and companion bills in both chambers, this market asks whether the political momentum translates into enacted federal law before year-end.