Will the national average diesel price fall below $3.25/gallon at any point in Q2 2026?
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...

March 19, 2026
Calculate the percentage increase from the lowest weekly average to highest weekly average in calendar year 2026 using EIA data. Resolves YES if increase ≥15%, otherwise NO. Source: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/
Diesel volatility directly impacts carrier budgeting and fuel surcharge strategies. Forecasts suggest Q4 prices will be higher than Q2, but the magnitude of swing determines whether carriers can effectively hedge fuel costs. A >15% swing would match 2024-2025 volatility patterns.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...
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