Will the U.S. withhold USMCA renewal at the July 2026 review?
Will the United States formally withhold approval for USMCA renewal (past 2036) at the mandatory July 1, 2026 joint review meeting? Trump has exp...
Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 329 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if FMCSA publishes in the Federal Register an NPRM or ANPRM specifically addressing autonomous, automated, or driverless commercial motor vehicles by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Federal Register and FMCSA official docket.
Autonomous trucking activity is advancing faster than the federal rulebook. This market asks whether FMCSA takes a formal regulatory step toward a framework for automated commercial motor vehicles during calendar year 2026.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 329 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if FMCSA publishes in the Federal Register an NPRM or ANPRM specifically addressing autonomous, automated, or driverless commercial motor vehicles by December 31, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Federal Register and FMCSA official docket.
Autonomous trucking activity is advancing faster than the federal rulebook. This market asks whether FMCSA takes a formal regulatory step toward a framework for automated commercial motor vehicles during calendar year 2026.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.