Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 362 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any ILA work stoppage of 24+ hours occurs at East or Gulf Coast ports. Resolves NO if no strikes occur. Source: Major media reports (Transport Topics, JOC, WSJ) or ILA/USMX official statements.
Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) conduct a work stoppage lasting 24+ hours at East or Gulf Coast ports in 2026? The ILA and USMX reached a tentative 6-year contract in January 2025, ratified in February with 99% approval. However, automation language remains contentious—the agreement only prohibits "fully automated" terminals, leaving room for disputes over "semi-automated" equipment.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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