Will the national average diesel price fall below $3.25/gallon at any point in Q2 2026?
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...
March 8, 2026
Resolves YES if any of XPO, ArcBest, Saia, Estes, Old Dominion, ABF, Forward Air, R+L Carriers, Roadway Express, or CRST announces general rate increase >3% for effective date before April 1, 2026. Otherwise NO. Source: Company press releases, 8-K SEC filings, or trade press.
LTL carriers have resisted aggressive rate increases despite significant capacity exits. A major carrier pulling the trigger on a rate increase would be a critical inflection signal and demonstrate confidence in demand recovery.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...
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