Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any North American trucking company with >$1 billion in trailing 12-month revenue as of Jan 1, 2026 announces permanent cessation of operations (not just bankruptcy/restructuring) during 2026. Otherwise NO.
Yellow's 2023 collapse with $5B in revenue was the largest trucking failure in US history. A similar event in 2026 would reshape competitive dynamics, create temporary capacity crunches, and trigger rate volatility.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any North American trucking company with >$1 billion in trailing 12-month revenue as of Jan 1, 2026 announces permanent cessation of operations (not just bankruptcy/restructuring) during 2026. Otherwise NO.
Yellow's 2023 collapse with $5B in revenue was the largest trucking failure in US history. A similar event in 2026 would reshape competitive dynamics, create temporary capacity crunches, and trigger rate volatility.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.