Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any North American trucking company with >$1 billion in trailing 12-month revenue as of Jan 1, 2026 announces permanent cessation of operations (not just bankruptcy/restructuring) during 2026. Otherwise NO.
Yellow's 2023 collapse with $5B in revenue was the largest trucking failure in US history. A similar event in 2026 would reshape competitive dynamics, create temporary capacity crunches, and trigger rate volatility.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Will the United States formally withhold approval for USMCA renewal (past 2036) at the mandatory July 1, 2026 joint review meeting? Trump has exp...
On May 20, 2026, FMCSA removed 12 devices from its list of registered electronic logging devices, bringing the cumulative total since January 202...
March 2026 Class 8 net orders printed at 38,000 units, up 126% year-over-year. April preliminary orders of 24,800 units came in lower than March...