Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Compare total active interstate for-hire motor carrier authorities on January 1, 2026 vs December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if decline is >5%. Otherwise NO. Source: FMCSA SAFER database authority counts.
FMCSA enforcement actions, voluntary exits, and bankruptcies are removing capacity at unprecedented rates. A >5% decline would remove 40,000+ authorities and be the largest single-year contraction since FMCSA began tracking.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Compare total active interstate for-hire motor carrier authorities on January 1, 2026 vs December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if decline is >5%. Otherwise NO. Source: FMCSA SAFER database authority counts.
FMCSA enforcement actions, voluntary exits, and bankruptcies are removing capacity at unprecedented rates. A >5% decline would remove 40,000+ authorities and be the largest single-year contraction since FMCSA began tracking.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.