Will the national average diesel price fall below $3.25/gallon at any point in Q2 2026?
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...

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January 31, 2027
$2.00/mi - $3.60/mi
Resolves to the FreightWaves SONAR VCRPMF.USA December 2026 monthly print, in dollars per mile to two decimals. VCRPMF.USA is the national average contract van rate per mile, final reporting. If FreightWaves has not published a December 2026 monthly figure by the resolution deadline, the closest equivalent monthly reading (e.g., a quarterly average covering December) is used. In the event the index is discontinued or renamed, resolution uses the closest available successor metric.
VCRPMF.USA is FreightWaves SONAR's national average contract van rate, final reporting basis, expressed as dollars per mile. The April 2026 monthly print was $2.48. This market resolves to the December 2026 monthly print. For historical context, VCRPMF ran in the low $2.20s during stretches of the 2023 freight recession and reached the low $3 range during the 2021 boom.
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EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...
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