Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +21.4 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 85 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 1, 2026
$35,000 - $75,000
Resolves to the U.S. average retail price for a used Class 8 truck for May 2026 as published in the ACT Research State of the Industry: U.S. Classes 3-8 Used Trucks report. If ACT publishes both a preliminary and a revised figure, the first published value is used. Round to the nearest dollar. Source: https://www.actresearch.net/
ACT Research publishes the State of the Industry: U.S. Classes 3-8 Used Trucks report every month, and the average retail price series is the industry benchmark for used truck values. The February 2026 preliminary average was $53,969, down 1% month over month, with two-year-old sleeper tractors off roughly $10,000 year over year as fleets work through a glut of late-model trade-ins. The series complements the new Class 8 order and build markets already on Rig Load and gives used-truck buyers a tradable signal on where residuals are heading.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...