Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +24.9 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 100 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 16, 2026
125.00 - 150.00
Resolves to the seasonally adjusted BTS Transportation Services Index freight component value for May 2026 as published in the BTS monthly TSI release. Round to one decimal place. Source: https://data.bts.gov/stories/s/Transportation-as-an-Economic-Indicator/9czv-tjte
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics publishes the Transportation Services Index each month, with a freight-only component that moves on trucking, rail carload, inland waterway, pipeline and air cargo activity. It is a natural companion to the ATA Truck Tonnage Index already on Rig Load and pulls from a different query set on search. January 2026 fell 0.6% from December and 0.3% year over year, putting recent values in the mid-130s on the 2000 = 100 base. May is the last reading before the summer industrial push and should capture whether the tariff-driven front-loading is still pulling volumes forward.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...