This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
April 15, 2026
Resolves YES if the arithmetic average of the Cass Freight Index shipments component for January, February and March 2026 is lower than the Q1 2025 average. Otherwise NO. Source: Cass Transportation Index monthly reports at https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes.
The Cass Freight Index shipments component tracks North American freight volume across truckload, LTL, rail and parcel each month. A lower Q1 2026 average would extend the for-hire freight recession that ran through 2024 and 2025, even as truckload rates began to recover.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
April 15, 2026
Resolves YES if the arithmetic average of the Cass Freight Index shipments component for January, February and March 2026 is lower than the Q1 2025 average. Otherwise NO. Source: Cass Transportation Index monthly reports at https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes.
The Cass Freight Index shipments component tracks North American freight volume across truckload, LTL, rail and parcel each month. A lower Q1 2026 average would extend the for-hire freight recession that ran through 2024 and 2025, even as truckload rates began to recover.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.