April 15, 2026
Resolves YES if the arithmetic average of the Cass Freight Index shipments component for January, February and March 2026 is lower than the Q1 2025 average. Otherwise NO. Source: Cass Transportation Index monthly reports at https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes.
The Cass Freight Index shipments component tracks North American freight volume across truckload, LTL, rail and parcel each month. A lower Q1 2026 average would extend the for-hire freight recession that ran through 2024 and 2025, even as truckload rates began to recover.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...