Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any monthly seasonally adjusted Cass Freight Shipments Index reading reaches ≥1.10. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes/
The Cass Shipments Index peaked at 1.092 in November 2024 and has declined to 1.011 in November 2025. Breaking above 1.10 would signal freight volumes have returned to 2024 peak levels, suggesting genuine demand recovery.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...