This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
February 18, 2026
0.85 - 1.05
Use the seasonally adjusted shipments index value published for January 2026. Round to 0.01 precision. Source: https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes/
January 2025 was 0.954 (down 8.2% YoY). The post-holiday collapse is the critical early-2026 signal: Will capacity exits finally inflect the index upward after three years of decline, or does demand continue deteriorating?
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
February 18, 2026
0.85 - 1.05
Use the seasonally adjusted shipments index value published for January 2026. Round to 0.01 precision. Source: https://www.cassinfo.com/freight-audit-payment/cass-transportation-indexes/
January 2025 was 0.954 (down 8.2% YoY). The post-holiday collapse is the critical early-2026 signal: Will capacity exits finally inflect the index upward after three years of decline, or does demand continue deteriorating?
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.