Will the Cass Freight Shipments Index reach 1.02 or higher in May 2026?
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...

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January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if the Cass Freight Index Shipments component shows a year-over-year change of +3.0% or higher for December 2026, as published in Cass Information Systems' monthly Cass Freight Index report. Reference reading: December 2025 Cass Shipments Index was 0.9319 with reported YoY of -7.46%; a +3.0% YoY figure for December 2026 corresponds to a Cass Shipments Index reading of approximately 0.96 or higher. Resolves NO if the December 2026 YoY change is below +3.0%. Source: Cass Information Systems, "Cass Freight Index Report" (monthly press release). If Cass has not published the December 2026 figure by the resolution deadline, the closest available official Cass YoY figure for December 2026 is used. In the event the index methodology changes or the report is discontinued, resolution uses the closest available successor metric.
The Cass Freight Index Shipments component is published monthly by Cass Information Systems. It tracks total shipment volume across truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal and parcel freight handled through Cass's freight payment platform, and is multi-modal rather than truckload-only. December 2025 read 0.9319 with a year-over-year change of -7.5%. The most recent print, April 2026, was 1.011 with a YoY change of -4.4%. Cass Shipments YoY has printed negative every month since early 2023. This market resolves YES if the December 2026 YoY percent change is +3.0% or higher, which corresponds to a Cass Shipments Index reading at or above approximately 0.96 in December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.
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May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
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