Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 364 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if any single month's ACT Research retail sales total reaches ≥25,000 units. Otherwise NO.
Retail sales below 25k indicate fleets are not even keeping pace with replacement demand as older trucks age out. Sales have run below this threshold for most of 2025. Breaking above 25k would require either freight recovery or regulatory pre-buy.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...