Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 362 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if DOL publishes a final rule tightening independent contractor standards beyond the 2024 rule. Resolves NO if no new rule is published or if the 2024 rule is rescinded/weakened. Source: Federal Register final rule publication.
Will the Department of Labor issue a final rule making it harder to classify truck drivers as independent contractors before year-end? The Trump DOL announced in May 2025 it is reviewing the Biden-era 2024 independent contractor rule and will not enforce it while reviewing. If DOL instead strengthens the rule, thousands of owner-operators would be reclassified as employees, fundamentally restructuring carrier cost models.
Rig Load Report posts linked directly to this market.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Will the United States formally withhold approval for USMCA renewal (past 2036) at the mandatory July 1, 2026 joint review meeting? Trump has exp...
On May 20, 2026, FMCSA removed 12 devices from its list of registered electronic logging devices, bringing the cumulative total since January 202...
March 2026 Class 8 net orders printed at 38,000 units, up 126% year-over-year. April preliminary orders of 24,800 units came in lower than March...