Will BLS report total truck driving employment below 3,600,000 in any month of Q1 2026?
Total trucking employment (including drivers, managers, mechanics) was declining in late 2025. Breaking below 3.6M would represent a cumulative 1...
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July 7, 2026
Resolves YES if the DAT national flatbed load-to-truck ratio exceeds 100.0 in any weekly reading between April 1 and June 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: DAT Trendlines.
The flatbed load-to-truck ratio hit 73.75 in March, up from 57.11 in February, driven by AI data center construction, rising steel output and industrial manufacturing demand. A reading above 100 would represent extreme tightness — more than double February's level — and would signal that flatbed capacity is genuinely insufficient for the industrial freight moving through the system. The dry van load-to-truck market already asks about a 10:1 threshold. This is the flatbed equivalent, and the starting point is much closer to the line.
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