Will the ISM Manufacturing PMI New Orders subindex exceed 52.0 in June 2026?

Binary (Yes/No)

Consensus

100%

Yes

2 Yes · 0 No

Your Forecast

Market Stats

Last forecast24 days ago

ClosesJul 1, 2026

Probability Over Time

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Resolution Details

Resolution Date

July 1, 2026

Resolution Criteria

Resolves YES if June 2026 ISM New Orders subindex >52.0. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.ismworld.org/

Additional Context

New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in June, it signals strong manufacturing demand is building for July-September freight movement.

Recent Activity

A forecaster predicted Yes24 days ago

A forecaster predicted Yes27 days ago