Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 180 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 1, 2026
Resolves YES if June 2026 Manufacturing PMI >50.5. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.ismworld.org/
Manufacturing PMI has been in contraction (<50) for most of 2025. Breaking above 50.5 signals not just expansion but solid growth in manufacturing activity. Freight demand is heavily weighted to manufacturing output.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...