Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 129 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 15, 2026
Resolves YES if any of the April, May, or June 2026 LMI overall readings exceeds 65.0. Resolves NO if all three monthly readings are at or below 65.0. Source: https://www.the-lmi.com/
The LMI tracks logistics activity across inventory, warehousing, and transportation. It read 61.5 in February, the highest in a year, with transportation-related subindices doing much of the lifting. A print above 65.0 would mark a meaningful step-up from the recent range and would signal a stronger freight environment than most of 2023 through 2025.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...