Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 214 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
October 8, 2026
Resolves YES if OTRI.USA reads above 15.00% on any single day between July 1 and September 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTRI.USA measures the share of contracted truckload loads that carriers reject. It sat below 5% for much of 2023, but has moved materially higher as capacity tightened. At 15%, shippers start losing loads to the spot market more consistently and contract compliance begins to deteriorate in a more visible way.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 214 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
October 8, 2026
Resolves YES if OTRI.USA reads above 15.00% on any single day between July 1 and September 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTRI.USA measures the share of contracted truckload loads that carriers reject. It sat below 5% for much of 2023, but has moved materially higher as capacity tightened. At 15%, shippers start losing loads to the spot market more consistently and contract compliance begins to deteriorate in a more visible way.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.