Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 394 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
January 31, 2027
Resolves YES if Port of LA reports total loaded + empty TEUs for calendar year 2026 is <9.0 million. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.portoflosangeles.org/
Port of LA expects "single-digit declines" in 2026 volumes vs 2025's ~10 million TEUs. Falling below 9M would be the lowest since 2020 and signal that tariff uncertainty and inventory drawdowns have materially crimped import demand.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...