What will the BTS Transportation Services Index freight component read for May 2026?
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics publishes the Transportation Services Index each month, with a freight-only component that moves on truck...
This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
March 15, 2026
1.70M TEUs - 2.20M TEUs
Use the actual January 2026 TEU volume (in millions) reported in the February or March 2026 Global Port Tracker report from NRF/Hackett Associates.
NRF forecasts January 2026 at 2.0M TEUs, down 10.3% year-over-year. January is historically weak, but a reading below 1.85M would signal severe demand destruction from tariffs. Above 2.10M would indicate inventory restocking is beginning earlier than expected.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
March 15, 2026
1.70M TEUs - 2.20M TEUs
Use the actual January 2026 TEU volume (in millions) reported in the February or March 2026 Global Port Tracker report from NRF/Hackett Associates.
NRF forecasts January 2026 at 2.0M TEUs, down 10.3% year-over-year. January is historically weak, but a reading below 1.85M would signal severe demand destruction from tariffs. Above 2.10M would indicate inventory restocking is beginning earlier than expected.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.