What will the BTS Transportation Services Index freight component read for May 2026?
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics publishes the Transportation Services Index each month, with a freight-only component that moves on truck...
This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
July 4, 2026
Resolves YES if the average of SONAR OTRI.USA daily readings from April 1 to June 30, 2026 is above 12.00%. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTRI.USA measures the share of contracted truckload loads that carriers reject — a direct read on how tight capacity is. An average above 12% across the quarter would indicate shippers faced sustained difficulty covering loads at contracted rates, consistent with structural tightness from capacity exits.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
July 4, 2026
Resolves YES if the average of SONAR OTRI.USA daily readings from April 1 to June 30, 2026 is above 12.00%. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTRI.USA measures the share of contracted truckload loads that carriers reject — a direct read on how tight capacity is. An average above 12% across the quarter would indicate shippers faced sustained difficulty covering loads at contracted rates, consistent with structural tightness from capacity exits.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.