April 2, 2026
Resolves YES if any monthly seasonally adjusted BLS reading in 2026 shows truck transportation employment (NAICS 484) below 1,500,000. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.bls.gov/ces/
November 2025 employment hit 1,509,600—the lowest since early pandemic. Breaking below 1.5M would represent a 6% decline from the 2022 peak of 1,587,700 and signal that capacity is tightening enough to potentially inflect rates.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
May 2025 was 1.025. Breaking above 1.02 in May 2026 would signal freight volumes have stabilized and begun climbing year-over-year after 30+ mont...
ATA tonnage is the broadest measure of freight volume. May sees seasonal demand pickup (Mother's Day, Memorial Day, summer goods shipments). MoM...
New orders are a leading indicator—they predict future manufacturing production and freight demand 2-3 months ahead. If new orders exceed 52 in J...