Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 100 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 8, 2026
0 - 13
Diesel is at $5.38/gallon. The EIA's March forecast revised the 2026 average to $4.12 — up 20% from the prior estimate — but that average assumes a decline from current levels as Brent crude is forecast to fall below $80/barrel by Q3. This market isn't asking where diesel ends up — it's asking how long the pain lasts. Every week above $4.50 compounds losses for carriers whose fuel surcharges don't fully offset the cost. The answer depends almost entirely on Hormuz: if shipping resumes, diesel drops fast. If the toll system persists, $4.50+ could be the floor for months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 100 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 8, 2026
0 - 13
Diesel is at $5.38/gallon. The EIA's March forecast revised the 2026 average to $4.12 — up 20% from the prior estimate — but that average assumes a decline from current levels as Brent crude is forecast to fall below $80/barrel by Q3. This market isn't asking where diesel ends up — it's asking how long the pain lasts. Every week above $4.50 compounds losses for carriers whose fuel surcharges don't fully offset the cost. The answer depends almost entirely on Hormuz: if shipping resumes, diesel drops fast. If the toll system persists, $4.50+ could be the floor for months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.