Early forecasts on this market can earn up to +25.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
The bonus window spans about 100 days between market open and close, with the largest bonus available to the earliest correct forecasts.
July 7, 2026
Resolves YES if SONAR OTVI.USA reads above 12,500.00 on any single day between April 1 and June 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
The Outbound Tender Volume Index is at 11,582 and inclining after months of decline. The bull case for the trucking market — the one Craig Fuller rated "11 out of 10" — depends in part on volumes recovering, not just rates being inflated by diesel. Crossing 12,500 would represent roughly 8% growth from current levels and would signal that the rate increase has a demand foundation underneath it, not just a fuel surcharge and capacity squeeze. Produce season, tariff-driven front-loading and the spring freight build all push in that direction. The question is whether it's enough.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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