OTVI.USA peaked near 12.4k in Q2 and never tagged 12,500 — volumes firmed but stopped just short of the demand-confirmation threshold.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
July 4, 2026
Resolves YES if SONAR OTVI.USA reads above 12,500.00 on any single day between April 1 and June 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
The Outbound Tender Volume Index is at 11,582 and inclining after months of decline. The bull case for the trucking market — the one Craig Fuller rated "11 out of 10" — depends in part on volumes recovering, not just rates being inflated by diesel. Crossing 12,500 would represent roughly 8% growth from current levels and would signal that the rate increase has a demand foundation underneath it, not just a fuel surcharge and capacity squeeze. Produce season, tariff-driven front-loading and the spring freight build all push in that direction. The question is whether it's enough.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics publishes the Transportation Services Index each month, with a freight-only component that moves on truck...
Series PCU484121484121 is the Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index for general freight trucking, long-distance truckload. Fleet financ...
May benefits from seasonal freight activity: produce season, Memorial Day retail and the ramp toward summer inventory builds. The question is whe...
OTVI.USA peaked near 12.4k in Q2 and never tagged 12,500 — volumes firmed but stopped just short of the demand-confirmation threshold.
This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
July 4, 2026
Resolves YES if SONAR OTVI.USA reads above 12,500.00 on any single day between April 1 and June 30, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
The Outbound Tender Volume Index is at 11,582 and inclining after months of decline. The bull case for the trucking market — the one Craig Fuller rated "11 out of 10" — depends in part on volumes recovering, not just rates being inflated by diesel. Crossing 12,500 would represent roughly 8% growth from current levels and would signal that the rate increase has a demand foundation underneath it, not just a fuel surcharge and capacity squeeze. Produce season, tariff-driven front-loading and the spring freight build all push in that direction. The question is whether it's enough.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
The Bureau of Transportation Statistics publishes the Transportation Services Index each month, with a freight-only component that moves on truck...
Series PCU484121484121 is the Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index for general freight trucking, long-distance truckload. Fleet financ...
May benefits from seasonal freight activity: produce season, Memorial Day retail and the ramp toward summer inventory builds. The question is whe...
