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Rig Load is a freight market prediction platform where transportation professionals forecast where the industry is heading. We aggregate predictions on freight rates, market indices and industry events to surface the crowd's best guess on what's coming next in trucking, logistics and supply chain.

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The one-legged freight recovery

Rig Load

Freight market predictions

Platform

Browse Markets Market Archive Leaderboard

Resources

Tools Blog How It Works About

The one-legged freight recovery

Spot rates are at multiyear highs, but the rally is supply- rather than demand-driven, and reaccelerating inflation will decide whether the deman...

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Flatbed has been the freight market's bright spot. It's also the narrowest.

Flatbed has been the freight market's bright spot. It's also the narrowest.

Flatbed spot rates are running near $3.77 a mile while van and reefer lag, on a demand base that is narrower, and more cyclical, than it looks.

FMCSA pulled 12 ELDs in a day. Who gets stranded?

FMCSA pulled 12 ELDs in a day. Who gets stranded?

FMCSA pulled 12 logging devices off its registered list on May 20. Carriers running them have until July 20 to switch or risk being placed out of...

Where the freight cycle actually is, in four indicators

Where the freight cycle actually is, in four indicators

Spot rates are at multi-year highs. Tender rejections, contract and tonnage agree. The Cass Freight Index, a broader multi-modal read, has not ye...

Who pays for trucking accidents now?

Who pays for trucking accidents now?

A unanimous Supreme Court just changed who pays for trucking accidents. The money can now move toward brokers, and the market will adjust around...

The order book in front of EPA 2027

The order book in front of EPA 2027

Class 8 orders ran hot for four straight months of 2026. The orders are borrowed from 2027. The cliff is already on the schedule.

What a single-line transcontinental does to trucking

What a single-line transcontinental does to trucking

Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern's amended merger application projects 2.1 million truckloads a year shifting modes and $3.5 billion in annual...

The freight downstream of a refund wave

The freight downstream of a refund wave

While tariff refunds are more news article than real money, for a freight market already running tight, they still matter.

What to do when your freight bid stops working

What to do when your freight bid stops working

If you're a shipper or broker staring at a rejection report that looks nothing like the bid you submitted last fall, you have company. The 2026 R...

The federal contractor rule is back. For most of trucking, that won't matter.

The federal contractor rule is back. For most of trucking, that won't matter.

Washington is rewriting the independent contractor test for the third time in five years. In California, New Jersey and Massachusetts, nobody is...

The other fluid problem

The other fluid problem

Diesel gets the headlines. The urea supply chain behind every truck's exhaust system is under the same pressure — and the cost exposure is harder...

Trucking spot rates just hit a cycle high. Diesel got them there.

Trucking spot rates just hit a cycle high. Diesel got them there.

The SONAR NTI.USA index is at $3 a mile, but the linehaul rate — what carriers actually get paid for the truck — hasn't yet recovered to where it...

The USMCA review just started. Trucking is struggling to pay attention.

The USMCA review just started. Trucking is struggling to pay attention.

The first formal review of the trade deal governing $354 billion in cross-border freight kicked off this week. The industry has bigger problems r...

The Dalilah Law and the capacity crunch not yet priced in

The Dalilah Law and the capacity crunch not yet priced in

The proposed CDL restrictions could pull hundreds of thousands of drivers off the road, but the recertification bottleneck may be the bigger stor...

What war in Iran means for diesel and domestic freight

What war in Iran means for diesel and domestic freight

The Strait of Hormuz closure is rewriting the fuel outlook for U.S. trucking just as the industry claws its way out of a three-year downturn.

FedEx wants its tariff money back. Will it actually get it?

February 28, 2026

FedEx wants its tariff money back. Will it actually get it?

FedEx filed suit seeking tariff refunds under IEEPA. The outcome could reshape carrier costs and shipper freight economics.

Is the Freight Market Finally Turning?

February 20, 2026

Is the Freight Market Finally Turning?

Kevin Hill of CarrierSource and Brush Pass Research breaks down whether the freight market is finally turning after three years of downcycle.

Why Freight Needs Its Own Prediction Market Platform

January 18, 2026

Why Freight Needs Its Own Prediction Market Platform

You're already making predictions about rates, diesel and volumes, but you're not getting credit when you're right. Rig Load wants to change that...

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Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.

Terms of Service·Privacy Policy

Rig Load. All rights reserved.