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Rig Load

Rig Load is a freight market prediction platform where transportation professionals forecast where the industry is heading. We aggregate predictions on freight rates, market indices and industry events to surface the crowd's best guess on what's coming next in trucking, logistics and supply chain.

12 Articles

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May 2, 2026

What a single-line transcontinental does to trucking

Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern's amended merger application projects 2.1 million truckloads a year shifting modes and $3.5 billion in annual...

April 24, 2026

The freight downstream of a refund wave

While tariff refunds are more news article than real money, for a freight market already running tight, they still matter.

April 18, 2026

What to do when your freight bid stops working

If you're a shipper or broker staring at a rejection report that looks nothing like the bid you submitted last fall, you have company. The 2026 R...

April 11, 2026

The federal contractor rule is back. For most of trucking, that won't matter.

Washington is rewriting the independent contractor test for the third time in five years. In California, New Jersey and Massachusetts, nobody is...

April 4, 2026

The other fluid problem

Diesel gets the headlines. The urea supply chain behind every truck's exhaust system is under the same pressure — and the cost exposure is harder...

March 28, 2026

Trucking spot rates just hit a cycle high. Diesel got them there.

The SONAR NTI.USA index is at $3 a mile, but the linehaul rate — what carriers actually get paid for the truck — hasn't yet recovered to where it...

March 21, 2026

The USMCA review just started. Trucking is struggling to pay attention.

The first formal review of the trade deal governing $354 billion in cross-border freight kicked off this week. The industry has bigger problems r...

March 14, 2026

The Dalilah Law and the capacity crunch not yet priced in

The proposed CDL restrictions could pull hundreds of thousands of drivers off the road, but the recertification bottleneck may be the bigger stor...

March 7, 2026

What war in Iran means for diesel and domestic freight

The Strait of Hormuz closure is rewriting the fuel outlook for U.S. trucking just as the industry claws its way out of a three-year downturn.

February 28, 2026

FedEx wants its tariff money back. Will it actually get it?

FedEx filed suit seeking tariff refunds under IEEPA. The outcome could reshape carrier costs and shipper freight economics.

February 20, 2026

Signal Check

Is the Freight Market Finally Turning?

Kevin Hill of CarrierSource and Brush Pass Research breaks down whether the freight market is finally turning after three years of downcycle.

January 18, 2026

Why Freight Needs Its Own Prediction Market Platform

You're already making predictions about rates, diesel and volumes, but you're not getting credit when you're right. Rig Load wants to change that...

Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.

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